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Ole Miss is Still the 2nd Best Team in the Country

At least according to these ratings. I still have them ahead of Auburn and Alabama, which surprised me, but Ole Miss does have a better strength of schedule to this point. Think about it: just because a team lost more recently, does that mean they should move behind another team with the same record? It’s simple to do but it’s not necessarily the logical thing to do.

8-Team Playoff, if the season ended today (Games on Dec. 20)
#19 Colorado St. (8) @ #1 Miss St. (1) in Starkville
#14 Nebraska (7) @ #3 Florida St. (2) in Tallahassee
#4 Auburn (6) @ #6 Oregon (3) in Eugene
#2 Ole Miss (5) @ #13 Marshall (4) in Huntington, WV

4-Team Playoff, if the season ended today
#6 Oregon (4) vs. #1 Miss St. (1) in the Sugar Bowl
#2 Ole Miss (3) @ #3 Florida St. (2) in the Rose Bowl

Screenshot 2014-10-29 12.17.46

 

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Image from The Big Lead.

College Football Week 8 – AI Score

(Top image from The Big Lead)

Yahoo! writer Dan Wetzel has been posting something like this tweet every Saturday:

Saturdays in the fall are as glorious as ever, even with 4 teams getting in. The best thing about it is that today, on October 21, more teams than last year at this point can say “we control our own destiny.” If only 2 teams made the playoff, then the only teams that would truly have control over their chance to win the championship at this point would be Florida State and the two teams from Mississippi. While that’s not a bad thing (every team in the top 5 conferences had a chance to win it at the start of the season), I’m sure we can agree that there are plenty of 1-loss teams that deserve to be in the hunt at this point, not to mention a team like Marshall (I know, weak SOS) that hasn’t lost a game yet. It doesn’t dilute the chase because there are so many teams and so few games to be played against each other. They can’t possibly have every team play every other one.

Here are my If-The-Season-Ended-Today playoff brackets (seeding process here):

8-Team Playoff (Quarterfinals on Dec 20)
#15 Nebraska (8) @ #1 Ole Miss (1) in Oxford
#11 TCU (7) @ #3 Florida St. (2) in Tallahassee
#4 Alabama (6) @ #8 Oregon (3) in Eugene
#2 Miss St. (5) @ #9 Marshall (4) in Huntington, WV

4-Team Playoff
#8 Oregon (4) vs.  #1 Ole Miss (1) in the Sugar Bowl
#2 Miss St. (3)  vs. #3 Florida St. (2) in the Rose Bowl

Screenshot 2014-10-21 11.47.20

 

Image from The Big Lead.

Image from The Big Lead.

Photo by Robert Jordan/Ole Miss Communications

College Football AI Score – Week 7

The SEC is dominating most ratings, including mine, at the midway point of the season.  I have 5 SEC teams in the top 8.  All these teams will have (or have already had) a chance to prove themselves and rise to the top.

Notre Dame is making it interesting this year. I summarized my playoff format in last week’s post, and one of the challenges for the Fighting Irish is that they don’t have a conference to win, meaning they should have to demonstrate beyond a reasonable doubt that they belong in a playoff. If they win this week, that might happen.

Here are the projected matchups, assuming the higher-rated team wins out:

8-team Playoff – First Round on Sat. December 20
#18 Minnesota @ #1 Ole Miss (1) in Oxford
#12 Marshall @ #3 Florida State (2) in Tallahassee
#4 Notre Dame (6) @ #6 Baylor (3) in Waco
#2 Miss State (5) @ #10 Oregon (4) in Eugene

4-team Playoff
#6 Baylor (4) vs. #1 Ole Miss (1)
#2 Miss St (3) vs.  #3 Florida State (2)

Screenshot 2014-10-14 10.46.16

Photo by Robert Jordan/Ole Miss Communications

Photo by Robert Jordan/Ole Miss Communications

Top Photo by Robert Jordan, Ole Miss Communications.

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College Football Week 6 – AI Score

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From SB Nation

This is my first rating update of 2014. I think September is too early to try and rank teams. And frankly, October might be too early, too, but the A’s are out of the playoffs so I need a distraction.

Speaking of playoffs, and college football: College Football Playoffs! I’ve always been a proponent of an 8-team playoff, given that there are numerous conferences with a pretty low level of interaction during the season. But a 4-team playoff is a step in the right direction.

Now let’s talk about the selection committee.  Are you serious? What is this, the Westminster Dog Show? Why do we want to inject the eye test into a game that has so much subjectivity when it comes to fandom and conference superiority? Hey, let’s have people from USC decide if UCLA should make the playoff! What could go wrong?

But again, it’s a step in the right direction and I’m looking forward to it at the end of this season.

As I said, I have always been a proponent of an 8-team playoff. Each week, I’ll post my If-The-Season-Ended-Today matchups in the 4 and 8 team variety:

My 8-team matchups will be the same as before: top 6 conference champs plus the next 2 teams of any type, with top 4 conference champs hosting, and the next 4 teams ranked by rating.

My 4-team matchups will be the top 3 conference champions + a wildcard. The wildcard will be determined like this: if the highest- or 2nd-highest-rated team in the country is still on the board, it gets chosen as the wildcard. If not, the highest-rated conference champion still on the board is the wildcard. Teams are ranked by rating, but top 2 must be conference champs.

So, if the season ended today:

8-Team Playoff
#16 Nebraska (8) @ #1 Auburn (1)
#12 Marshall (7) @ #4 Florida State (2)
#3 Miss St (6) @ #6 Arizona (3)
#2 Ole Miss (5) @ #8 TCU (4)

Obviously, each team in the SEC will have the chance to climb to the top spot by the end of the season.

4-Team Playoff
Auburn (1) vs. Arizona (4)
Florida State (2) vs. Ole Miss (3)

I’m looking forward to another great Saturday!

Screenshot 2014-10-07 21.06.29

 

So clean that it’s not

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Imagine you’re staying at a hotel and you throw your dirty laundry in the corner of the room (that’s normal right? Do people have travel laundry hampers?). When you come back to your room, you notice it’s been cleaned, and you find that your dirty socks have been folded and placed back in your shoes.

How would you feel about this? Appreciative? Confused? The same way you feel when your kid makes you a ranch and peanut butter sandwich? Like oh hey thanks for trying, that’s really sweet, but also disgusting and I don’t want it.

Maybe you think: this is really weird, but their heart was in the right place. I guess that’s what matters.

Also imagine your phone charger has been unplugged and the cord has been neatly wound up.
Thorough.